"Sensen, will the housing prices in Dongou City really fall?"
"Let's do a deduction question."
Under the romantic street lights in late autumn, in the depths of the Shenyi campus, An An held Jiang Sen's hand, half leaning on his arm, followed by the helpless Secretary Yu of the Youth League Committee of China Normal School, and a large group of people who came to support Shenyi's welcome party tonight Girls from various art departments of China Normal University. Under their envious and appetizing gazes, An An seemed to be alone, enjoying the handsome guy all by himself.
And Brother Sen also gave up resistance and sent her out all the way.
On the way, they casually chatted about the only small business left in An'an's family, which was worth 200 million yuan.
"We assume that housing prices still have room to continue to rise, so this space must be limited, because in the end, it is the market that determines housing prices in the final analysis, right? Even if you can nominally rise to 100 million per square meter, that's not enough. Someone has to buy it. So as long as you want to sell it, you have to lower the price to a reasonable range, to a price that others can afford and are willing to buy. This price is the real market price, isn¡¯t it?¡±
"Well" An An responded in a low voice, not knowing what Jiang Sen wanted to say, so she continued to listen, "And then?"
"Then the reason is very simple." Jiang Sendao, "Now that Dongou City is on holiday, the hardworking community I bought has already gone to 20,000 yuan per square meter. I'm going to be optimistic, reckless, and stupid It is estimated that this price can be doubled again, that is to say, it will rise to 40,000 per square meter. How many people do you think are left in Dongou City who can afford and are willing to buy at this price?
My house has an area of ??280 square meters, and at 40,000 square meters, the housing price directly exceeds one million. In the entire Dongou City, how many people can buy this suite with more than ten million yuan in cash? not much? Then I optimistically estimate that even if Dongou City is really full of upstarts and the proportion of multi-millionaires reaches 1%, among the 9 million people in the city, there are only 90,000 people who can afford this money. , it is nothing more than the end of this real estate speculation game, that is, the 90,000 people back and forth.
Whoever entered the market first bought it at a low price, and those who entered the market later took over at a higher price, but those who entered the market later want to sell now. Among the 90,000 people, who will take over? No, because the tens of thousands of people who have the ability to participate in real estate speculation are now divided into two parts. The first part has already earned the difference in real estate speculation. The funds in their hands have a better place to go. For example, Shen If the housing price in Dongou City really rises to 40,000 to 50,000 yuan, then at the same price, if I buy a house in Beijing and Shenzhen, or other first-tier cities, will the potential be greater? Those who have made money, their money will only go to places that better match this price.
The same house price of more than 200 square meters, if you buy it in Dongou City for more than 10 million yuan, others will say you are an idiot, but if you buy it in Beijing or Shanghai, after a few years, because of their urban location advantages and household registration treatment , no one will feel that the money was spent unjustly. Because people are really worth the money. The profits obtained from speculating on real estate in Dongou City, and then invested in Shencheng, are investments.
This money will never be returned to Dong'ou City.
Then the remaining real estate speculators in Dong'ou City are only another part, that is, the part of the real estate speculators who become landlords after the high-level takeover. But when we look back now, are these people really capable of taking such a big plate? Your father's business depends on people from half the county to raise funds, plus bank loans, and other people to finance and inject capital to develop that real estate. What about the other people? Is it the same? "
"That's right" An An said, "So they also want a loan?"
"Yes, that's the problem." Jiang Sen said, "It's impossible for Dong'ou City to have as many as 90,000 people who are capable of real estate speculation. How can there be 90,000 people? That's at least 900,000 people. People with assets. Those high-ranking buyers are burdened with interest debts. If the real estate they take over cannot be sold, they can only buy a house at a lower price. The strong man will cut his wrist and pay back the money to save his life.
In this way, in a market that has already lost buyers, once the seller can't hold back, the house price can't hold back either.
If you want to cut off your wrist, I want to cut off your wrist too. Everyone in the whole market is rushing to chop off their hands, and the ground is full of hands, dripping with blood. All the people who received the last round of orders rushed to lower the price, and the bubble in the property market would be burst overnight.
Therefore, the property market bubble in Dong'ou City will burst, not because someone pokes it on purpose, but because its value and price do not match. The price fluctuates around the value, and must fluctuate within the normal range, which is the basic law of the market economy. Whoever insists on acting in violation of objective laws is seeking death for himself.
Therefore, I judge that when the housing prices in Dongou City collapse, it depends on when it is fired to a price similar to that of China's largest cities. I spend the same money and can invest in the best city, why should I rely on it??Do you want to leave third-tier cities like Dongou City? are you crazy?
When the funds from Dong'ou City are withdrawn, the house price will definitely be bang! "
"Wow so it is like this!" An An looked at Jiang Sen with staring eyes, "It seems to be almost the same now? I heard that Renmin Road in the urban area has risen to more than 30,000, almost 40,000, and it is still rising! My house There are two facades on the side, do you think they will be sold or not?"
"Hurry up and sell." Jiang Sen blurted out, "When the price rises to 50,000 someday, if you want to sell it, who do you think will buy it?"
"No, no, it's the facade." An An said, "The facade is much more expensive. Residential commercial buildings are almost 40,000 per square meter, and the facade is running for 100,000!"
"Then let's keep it." Jiang Sen said, "The facade house is sold, and it will not be easy to buy it back in a few years. Just keep a root in Dong'ou City, in case you want to go back someday?"
"My family can't live there any longer" An An suddenly lost, "My mother is already looking for a buyer. The two facades are only more than 80 square meters. If you sell them now, you can buy thousands of dollars." "
Jiang Sen said: "Then sell it!"
"Hey~!" An An thumped Jiang Sen, "I will sell it later, and I will not sell it later!"
Jiang Sen was not happy, and said: "It depends on your personal preference. You can sell it with money if you are in a hurry. If you are not in a hurry, you can stay there. Even if the house price falls back in the future, the front house will not fall that much. After all, it is still in the city center. No matter how the city's economy declines, the price will be cut in half at most, and you will earn three to four million less than you are now. With your family's wealth, isn't three to four million a year's bank deposit interest? You count this little money , What is the meaning of life?"
"Of course it makes sense. When we get married, at least you can collect a few million more dowry. People love you" An An hugged Jiang Sen's arms back and forth.
A large group of people followed behind Jiang Sen and An An, and when they heard An An's coquettish voice, they felt a collective chill.
Ten minutes later, Jiang Sen was finally delivered to the school gate safely.
An An hugged Jiang Sen for a while, before being forcibly pulled away by their school teacher.
The school bus of China Normal University will soon drive away.
"Let's wait for the Chinese New Year, and get together again during the Chinese New Year. The current energy should be focused on study and training. If you have any needs in study and life, you should tell the school in time. Now I still spend time doing laundry by myself, which affects the efficiency of life too much. " Gao Minghui patted him on the shoulder, gave him some advice, then stopped a taxi and left.
"Alas" Jiang Sen was slightly relieved.
Then as soon as I turned my head, the phone in my pocket buzzed and vibrated twice. I took it out and saw that it was a text message from An An, "Sen Sen! I forgot to tell you that the office building my mother bought here last month is called Huayang Building! That assistant of yours got a kickback!"