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Chapter 844 The problem of the century, your mother and I fell into the water at the same time

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    ¡ª¡ª"Next, let's talk about how to improve the correct rate of decision-making when faced with choices?

    Before answering this question, we must first talk about why we make mistakes when we face choices?  What factors are affecting our correct evaluation options?

    In Sheena's book, she found many kinds of thinking biases that affect choice decisions.  I chose two of them, and I will tell you about the most common ones in life.

    The first one is called information framing bias.  This means that the information frame we use when evaluating options affects our choices.

    To put it bluntly, it is the way to describe the options, which will interfere with the choice.  For example, if a virus breaks out in a place, there are two treatment options for you to choose.

    If you choose option a, 30% of the people will be rescued, and the other 70% will not be rescued.  For option b, there is a 13 possibility that everyone will live, but there is also a 23 possibility that everyone will die.

    At this time, for the sake of insurance, most people will choose option a.  After all, it's safe to be in one's pocket, and one can be saved.

    However, if you change the expression.  If you choose option a, 70% of the people will definitely die, and only 30% will survive.  In option b, there are 13 possibilities that no one dies, and another 23 that all die.

    At this time, most people will choose option b.  After all, you can't just watch 70% of people die.

    You see, it is obviously the same set of plans, but the way of description is different, and the choices made are different.

    In the first statement, the measured indicator is the survival rate.  At this time, everyone will pay more attention to the survival rate, and all they think about is saving one more person.

    In the second set of expressions, the measured indicator is the mortality rate.  At this time, everyone's focus has also become the mortality rate, thinking that one less death is one.

    Among them, the survival rate and the mortality rate are the information frames I use when describing the two options.

    Even if the options remain the same, as long as the information framework is different, the basis on which we evaluate the options will be different.  This is our first mental bias in our choice decisions.

    The second thinking bias is what I have summarized for you from the cases analyzed by Hina.  We could call it option confusion bias.

    It means that when we compare options, the dimension of comparison itself is confusing.  There is actually no comparability among many options, it's just that the people who make the choices don't realize it.

    For example, there is a joke on the Internet.  My girlfriend asked the boy, my mother and I fell into the water at the same time, who do you save first?

    Many people are still in a dilemma after thinking about it.  In fact, this is because the boys who answered have never had a unified comparison dimension.  So much so that I can't find the comparability between these two options.

    At this time, he needs to establish a comparison system that can accommodate these two people at the same time.  For example, people who study law think that legally, a son has an obligation to support his mother, and if he fails to rescue him, it constitutes a crime, but he has no legal obligation to his girlfriend.  So, save your mother first.

    Of course, the point is not whether this choice is right or not.  But through this example, you will find that most of us lack the awareness of establishing the dimension of choice.  Only a few people with specific expertise have this awareness.

    Leaving aside whether he chose the right one or not, at least for him, this choice is convincing to himself.

    In fact, in life, many choices are difficult because of the lack of such a clear dimension of comparison.

    For example, the most direct way we mentioned about how to support ourselves is to find a job first; let¡¯s assume that there are several choices at the same time;

    Wages can be quantified, but the happiness brought by being close to home, the sense of accomplishment brought by work, and the joy of getting along with colleagues cannot be quantified.

    Another example, if you are on vacation today, you will hesitate whether to go to an industry party or go to the company to work overtime to earn overtime pay.  The reason why these two options are entangled is also because of the lack of a clear criterion for judging.

    In other words, before making a choice, you need to find out what you care about more?  From the perspective of long-term value, it is better to go to parties to pave the way for more contacts in the future.

    In terms of short-term value, overtime work can get money immediately.  If you don't establish a clear standard to find the comparability between the two options, you will always be in a dilemma.

    Just like us now, should we spend time polishing ourselves first, or find a job to support ourselves first.  The choice is not difficult, the difficulty is the comparability between the two choices.

    This is the second bias in our thinking when evaluating options.  Let's give it a name, let's call it option confusion bias.

    So, how should we improve the selectionWhat about the correct rate?  Hina believes that the best way is not to attack head-on.  Instead, change a roundabout path and go straight to Huanglong.

    That is, as long as a more advanced selection strategy can be found, these two problems will be naturally solved.

    Just like sometimes, when I was not pregnant, when I was depressed, drinking a cup of strong tea to refresh me temporarily was a frontal attack.

    And if I develop the habit of exercising and fundamentally improve my physical fitness and energy, it is another way to go straight to Huanglong.

    The two methods I will introduce to you next belong to this category.

    The first one, which I summarized for you from Hina's book, is called option hierarchy.  The second is inspired by Hina's personal experience, called the method of creating options.

    Let me talk about the first type first, the options are layered.  Sometimes it is difficult to choose because there are too many options without a clear basis for comparison.

    For example, we also keep pace with the times, fill in volunteers for the college entrance examination, there are so many colleges and universities across the country, which one should we apply for?  Families may argue over this.  Relatives and friends have their own opinions, and everyone's suggestions sound so reasonable.

    In fact, I was quite envious of this kind of situation when I filled out the application form at the time, because I went to school as a normal child, and there were no Braille schools at all at that time; therefore, I was also very troubled when I filled out the application form, but,  In the end, it was impossible to choose, and the numbers were painted casually.  Ha ha.

    Closer to home, when it comes to filling out volunteer applications, some people value the city where the school is located, some value the school's ranking, and some value the major.

    At this point, what needs to be done is to layer the options.  Divide them into several gradients according to the actual situation of the individual.

    ?For example, the volunteers mentioned just now include several top domestic universities, such as Peking University, Tsinghua University, Nankai University, Fudan University and so on.  The school itself is a gold-lettered signboard, which greatly enhances the value of individuals, so they should be included in the first echelon.

    ?As long as your personal score allows, you don't need to consider the city or major, and you must go if you have the opportunity.  "(Remember this site URL: www.hlnovel.com
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